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Clouded Judgement 3.10.23

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. What excites me is the strength of these platforms are reflected in new customer adds and stable gross churn. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

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A Look Back at Q4 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Q4 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. Through these interactions, I’ve built up mental benchmarks for metrics on which I place extra emphasis. My hope is that this analysis can provide startup entrepreneurs with a framework for how to manage their businesses around SaaS metrics (e.g.,

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A Look Back at Q3 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Q3 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. Through these interactions, I’ve built up mental benchmarks for metrics on which I place extra emphasis. My hope is that this analysis can provide startup entrepreneurs with a framework for how to manage their businesses around SaaS metrics (e.g.,

Cloud 177
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Clouded Judgement 3.22.24 - ERR vs ARR and the Conundrum of AI Revenue Streams Today

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) vs ERR (Experimental Runrate Revenue) ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) is one of the most popular SaaS (Non-GAAP) metrics. I created this subset to show companies where FCF is a relevant valuation metric.

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A Look Back at Q2 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Q2 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. Through these interactions, I’ve built up mental benchmarks for metrics on which I place extra emphasis. My hope is that this analysis can provide startup entrepreneurs with a framework for how to manage their businesses around SaaS metrics (e.g.,

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Clouded Judgement 8.11.23 - Datadog Consumption Trends

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. The weakness they called out was from larger cloud-native businesses. The good news is gross retention (ie churn) stayed constant. Private companies like CoreWeave and Lambda (who offer cloud GPUs) are also seeing a big boost.

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A Look Back at Q4 '22 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Q4 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. Through these interactions, I’ve built up mental benchmarks for metrics on which I place extra emphasis. My hope is that this analysis can provide startup entrepreneurs with a framework for how to manage their businesses around SaaS metrics (e.g.,

Cloud 161