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A Look Back at Q1 '25 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Q1 ‘25 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. And no, this wasn’t all because of leap year last year (that would only account for a ~3% delta at most) The Hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, Google Cloud) also declined net new adds year over year, but not by as much. Let’s get into some high level data.

Cloud 277
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AI Reaccelerating Cloud Growth

Tom Tunguz

Yesterday, both Google and Microsoft announced their earnings for their cloud businesses. “Because of our overall differentiation, more than 18,000 organizations now use Azure OpenAI service, including new-to-Azure customers.” ” “Higher-than-expected AI consumption contributed to revenue growth in Azure.”

AI Search 312
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5 Interesting Learnings from Salesforce at $40 Billion in ARR

SaaStr

Nvidia, Google Cloud, Azure, etc. The Big Acquisitions Are Doing Well. 1% Dilution Many faster growing public SaaS and Cloud companies aim for 2% a year dilution or less from employee grants, down from the 10%+ common at start-ups. But how about 2026+? We’ll see. Salesforce Growth: FY26 $40.9B (guidance) FY25 $37.9B

Scale 195
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Seven Strategic Rationales for the Microsoft/Github Acquisition

Tom Tunguz

It’s a massive acquisition at a massive price relative to other software acquisitions. The Skype acquisition was also about identity, consumer identity. Microsoft has published Linux and FreeBSD for Azure. This acquisition capstones the commitment. Box-out Amazon and Google in the Cloud Wars.

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A Look Back at Q1 '24 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Q1 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. These charts clearly show the ZIRP pull forward, the ensuing cloud cost optimizations, and then the recovery. It’s worth pointing out that Azure is a bit above the long term trendline, while AWS is still below (but accelerating up).

Cloud 318
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Why Would Microsoft Buy Wunderlist and Later Just Shut it Down?

SaaStr

For a Really Big Tech Company, any acquisition of less than about $1b is somewhere between an experiment and a bet. In 2015, Microsoft wanted to help accelerate its SaaS / Cloud strategy and made a bunch of bets. Once Office 365, Azure, etc. But the reality is, it’s 0.1% of Microsoft’s market cap. But an experiment.

Azure 312
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Clouded Judgement 1.27.23

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Azure (Microsoft) Quarter The week the first of the cloud giants reported - Azure. Early Look at 2023 Guides Given the Azure weakness reported on Tuesday, all software tumbled Wednesday morning with most names down 5-10%.

Cloud 144