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How Will a Venture Capital Recovery Feel? Observations from 2008

Tom Tunguz

What will a venture capital turnaround feel like? In 2008, I had just become a venture capitalist. With 15 years’ perspective, I plotted the QQQ (Nasdaq) value against venture Investing activity & venture Exits activity (all log normalized). for QQQ/Investing & 0.93 for QQQ/Exits.

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Mean Reversion: When Will Startup Investing Return to Normal?

Tom Tunguz

The post-Covid surge in venture capital pushed valuations & activity to record breaking heights. Since then, investing activity dropped precipitously. The red is a linear model based on data from 2010 to 2018 that predicts activity rates for each financing series of US & Canadian software companies. [1]

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How Developed is Global Venture Capital Market?

Tom Tunguz

The chart above shows the compound annual growth rate of venture investment rounds A through D in ten fastest growing venture markets plus the US from 2010-2016. It’s wonderful to see the expansion of venture capital across these geographies and especially at very healthy growth rates. India at $2.2B

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The Supercharger Boosting Startupland Fundraising and Exits

Tom Tunguz

If the government lends at a low rate, then the cost of capital is less, so companies should be able to invest more at the same cost, and grow faster. We should expect four outcomes: More money should enter venture capital funds. And it would be 4x the size of 2010. These are new dollars looking for yield.

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The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups

Tom Tunguz

The article pointed to the seeming collapse in the amount of venture capital raised by San Francisco startups relative to other regions. The slowing of venture investment more broadly across the US serves as a backdrop to San Francisco’s particularly strong correction. Note, the levels still exceed 2010-2013.

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Have VCs Changed Their Seed Investment Strategies?

Tom Tunguz

How much of this trend is due to greater participation of venture capitalists investing in the seed market? Both types of rounds have increased by about 5x since 2010. Rounds without VC participation seem to be roughly twice as frequent as those with venture funds. The chart above plots the number of seeds rounds by year.

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Who are Asia’s SaaS VCs?

SaaStock

According to Mike Laven, CEO of Currencycloud, the one thing necessary for any company to succeed in China – or in any of the Asian countries – is to get local investment. SAIF Partners is one of the top private equity firms that provides growth capital financing for Asia businesses. SaaS Investments: Goodera, and others.