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Clouded Judgement 2.29.24 - Shades of 2021

Clouded Judgement

Subscribe now Shades of 2021 in Venture Markets Private markets are really starting to heat up, and I’m starting to see shades of 2021. ” I heard that a lot in 2021, and unfortunately not many call options hit… It’s hard to invest at 100x ARR and exit at 10x and make a return VCs aim for. .”

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Lowering the Hiring (And Investing) Bar Didn’t Work

SaaStr

So everyone is now paying the price for lowering the bar in the Boom Times of mid ‘20 to early ‘22. While layoffs are all across the news today, looking back, July 2021 was the nadir for layoffs. Everyone was hiring everyone, anyone, back in mid-2021. And now we’re paying the price. We all did, just to get it done.

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The State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings

SaaStr

We came right back on 20VC to do a deep dive on where seed investing is right now with Frank Rotman, one of the most successful fintech investors, Sam Lessin on Slow Ventures, with an incredible portfolio, and Jason Lemkin: It’s a good listen. What Happens From Here: First, every VC is able to write off its 2021 fund.

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The Many Types of Angel Investors in 2021

SaaStr

90%+ of angels just want to “follow” someone that sets the terms, price — and does the due diligence and hard work. Many traditional angels are very sensitive to price. They want to invest a fixed amount of capital, into a specific number of companies, and own a certain amount of each. This is critical. Listen and ask.

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If You Had $10k to Invest, Which Stock Would You Buy?

Tom Tunguz

If I gave you $10,000 to invest in one company today among the following four software businesses, which would you pick? Which investment will generate the greatest return? Company 2 compounds revenue at 83% the rate of company 1, but at half the price. The revenue trajectory mirrors company 3 at one-half the price.

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5 Predictions for 2021

Tom Tunguz

Here are my predictions for 2021. The merry retail investors using Robinhood bolster the passive investment wave, and their market-shaping forces sustain stratospheric multiples in the public markets. Acquirers, emboldened by higher stock prices, brace themselves and outbid each other with premium multiples for high-growth startups.

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AMA: Hot Takes on SaaS Metrics with SaaStr Founder Jason Lemkin

SaaStr

As a SaaS veteran who built and sold a software company for nine figures, invested in startups since 2013, 10x-ing his fund, and continues to build a powerhouse community of SaaStr fans, he offers some hot takes on the communities’ burning questions. Sales is much harder than in 2021. 2021 made no sense in terms of budgeting.

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