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SaaS Multiples Are At a 3+ Year Low. Where It Goes From Here.

SaaStr

Many SaaS and Cloud leaders are down more than 50% from their all-time highs. But Covid did create a lot of artificial demand for Cloud products, especially the lockdown phase. Ultimately — revenue multiples. Update on cloud software multiples, charted alongside the 10Y and 5 year pre-covid NTM rev multiple average.

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Yes, Everyone Has To be 2x as Efficient As They Used to Be. It’s Just Math.

SaaStr

Because beyond WFH, RTO, and all the tactical changes of the past few years, the biggest structural one really is — The March To $400,000 in Revenue Per Employee. In fact, almost every SaaS leader at scale is hitting $300,000 in Revenue Per Employee at the pre-IPO phase. That means $300k-$400k in revenue per employee.

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Are We Back to a 6x World?

SaaStr

And I’ve even been bullish the past 18 months, even with the headwinds some have seen: Sure growth is down at top Cloud leaders, but it’s still strong in absolute terms The best SaaS and Cloud startups that solve real, big problems are still exploding The U.S. And then they exploded in 2020 and 2021 to record multiples.

Cloud 213
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Were the “Covid Multiples” in SaaS Just an Anomoly?

SaaStr

Was the “Covid Boost” in Cloud multiples just an anomoly? Put differently, if you look at multiples of revenue for top SaaS and Cloud companies above from 2014-2022, you could come to one of (at least) two conclusions today: Conclusion #1: Q2’20-Q4’22 Cloud Revenue Multiples Were a Covid Anomaly.

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5 Interesting Learnings from Datadog at $1.2 Billion in ARR

SaaStr

Datadog isn’t leaving the smaller customers behind, but they are increasingly a smaller percentage of revenue. 100k+ customers have gone from 50% of revenue in 2016 to almost 80% today: #2. Almost all the Cloud leaders accelerating after $100m ARR, let alone $1B ARR, are multi-product. #3. 10 new products this year.

Scale 317
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When did cloud computing start to become popular?

SaaStr

Around 2013 or so, the Cloud started to grow far faster than any of us had thought it would: Amazon Web Services revenue 2018 | Statista. It turned our CIOs and bigger companies were ready to transfer as much as another 20% of their $1 trillion+ IT budgets to Cloud far faster than any of us knew. It’s still accelerating.

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SAP Buys Qualtrics; 2018 Catapulted to $65B in $1B+ M&A Volume

Tom Tunguz

Qualtrics fetched 23x trailing twelve months revenue multiple. The only one greater is the Microsoft/Github acquisition, which is based on press reports of Github’s revenue. Let’s put the 2018 acquisition environment into context. Prices in 2018 are also the highest across this time frame.

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