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Clouded Judgement 12.1.23 - Net New ARR Starts to Rebound + AWS ReInvent Recap

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Amazon ReInvent This week Amazon had their annual AWS ReInvent conference. ” AWS fully embracing the breadth over depth approach. Is this a sign that software headwinds have bottomed?

AWS 293
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A Look Back at Q4 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Is Software Rebounding? It looks at the YoY dollar change in quarterly revenue from the hyperscalers (just looking at Azure / AWS because the data goes back further) going back a few years. Q4 Revenue Relative to Consensus Estimates Now let’s dive in to the financial results of Q4 starting with revenue.

Cloud 177
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Clouded Judgement 3.22.24 - ERR vs ARR and the Conundrum of AI Revenue Streams Today

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) vs ERR (Experimental Runrate Revenue) ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) is one of the most popular SaaS (Non-GAAP) metrics. Follow along to stay up to date! This analysis does two things.

AI 183
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Gas Gas Revolution

Tom Tunguz

This drop in prices has grown AWS into a $90b revenue business in 17 years. As storage & compute became less expensive, the economic viability of new use cases became increasingly apparent & developers built software on the cloud. AWS Aurora has benefitted from efficiency gains since 1986 - 37 years of development.

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Predicting Cloud Growth Rates for 2023

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. A year ago, AWS, GCP, & Azure averaged 44% annual growth. Amazon: We expect [customer] optimization efforts will continue to be a headwind to AWS growth in at least the next couple of quarters. So Amazon: Net sales increased $21.4

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Clouded Judgement 2.2.24 - Cloud Giants Report Q4 '23

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Amazon on AWS : “…customers are continuing to shift their focus towards driving innovation and bringing new workloads to the cloud. They also are seeing AI revenue (largely compute) show up sooner than anyone else.

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Clouded Judgement 9.15.23 - Medium Term Software Setup

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Software Setup Currently, interest rates seem to be the primary driver of software valuations. Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework. Follow along to stay up to date! Overall Stats: Overall Median: 6.0x