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Clouded Judgement 5.3.24 - Hyperscalers Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Reports

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Results Q1 earnings seasons has officially kicked off! We now have results from the three hypersclaers (AWS / Azure / GCP). Follow along to stay up to date!

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A Look Back at Q4 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Is Software Rebounding? It looks at the YoY dollar change in quarterly revenue from the hyperscalers (just looking at Azure / AWS because the data goes back further) going back a few years. Q4 Revenue Relative to Consensus Estimates Now let’s dive in to the financial results of Q4 starting with revenue.

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Clouded Judgement 5.10.24 - Software Weakness Across the Board

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Q1 Software Earnings Are… Not Good We’re about halfway through Q1 earnings season, and it’s not been pretty. Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework. Follow along to stay up to date!

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Clouded Judgement 10.27.23 - Cloud Giants Report Q3 '23

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. You can see some quotes from Azure / AWS in my Q2 recap , and pasted below. I believe one of the bigger reasons software has held up despite the run up in the 10Y to 5% is the expectation for re-acceleration (ie numbers / forecasts going up).

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Clouded Judgement 2.2.24 - Cloud Giants Report Q4 '23

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Amazon on AWS : “…customers are continuing to shift their focus towards driving innovation and bringing new workloads to the cloud. They also are seeing AI revenue (largely compute) show up sooner than anyone else.

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Predicting Cloud Growth Rates for 2023

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. A year ago, AWS, GCP, & Azure averaged 44% annual growth. Amazon: We expect [customer] optimization efforts will continue to be a headwind to AWS growth in at least the next couple of quarters. So

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Clouded Judgement 3.22.24 - ERR vs ARR and the Conundrum of AI Revenue Streams Today

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) vs ERR (Experimental Runrate Revenue) ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) is one of the most popular SaaS (Non-GAAP) metrics. Follow along to stay up to date! This analysis does two things.

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