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Clouded Judgement 2.2.24 - Cloud Giants Report Q4 '23

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q4 ‘23 Two quotes from the Amazon and Microsoft earnings call really stood out to me this week. Sometimes they’re classic cloud migrations. Follow along to stay up to date!

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Clouded Judgement 10.27.23 - Cloud Giants Report Q3 '23

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. You can see some quotes from Azure / AWS in my Q2 recap , and pasted below. After the cloud giants reported this week, the timing of the presumed re-acceleration is very much in question. Follow along to stay up to date!

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Cloud Stocks May Be Down. But the Cloud Remains on Fire. That Matters More.

SaaStr

But at end of the day, in Cloud, the question is if CIO and related spend will slow down. So follow AWS, Azure and Google Cloud. So there’s much angst and even panic with so many SaaS and Cloud public stocks down 50% or more from their peaks. They are the Cloud. The post Cloud Stocks May Be Down.

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Datadog, ZoomInfo, Atlassian, AWS: Epic Growth — But Some Real Headwinds For The First Time

SaaStr

Atlassian noted a decline in Free to Paid conversion, but importantly, no decline in demand for their products: Amazon: We’re Seeing Strong But Slowing Growth at AWS to 28%, Albeit at a Stunning $82B Run Rate. So real impact from headwinds at the Cloud leaders, but they are still growing at jaw-dropping rates, if not as fast as before.

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Bessemer: $1 Trillion in Cloud Market Cap Lost Year-to-Date

SaaStr

There are many ways to slice-and-dice public market data, but the headline one Bessemer called out is the most visceral I’ve seen: Public SaaS and Cloud companies lost $1 Trillion in market cap so far in 2022. And the number of public SaaS and Cloud decacorns has fallen from 50 to 17. Strange Days, Indeed.

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Atlassian and AWS Say: “Maybe Worry a Little Bit”

SaaStr

Yet, the Cloud is on fire during Work-and-Do-Everything-Possible-from-Home. Zoom is growing at rates we’ve never seen before in SaaS and Cloud. And Morgan Stanley has predicted Cloud penetration will be pulled forward 5+ years or more. Amazon/AWS and Atlassian both had huge Q2’s. The same with Atlassian.

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A Look Back at Q4 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Q4 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. It looks at the YoY dollar change in quarterly revenue from the hyperscalers (just looking at Azure / AWS because the data goes back further) going back a few years. This is the data point shown for Q4 ‘23. As you can see, the median beat this quarter was 2.0%.

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