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Microsoft's Billion Dollar AI Business

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early trends in the software market to inform startups’ plans for 2023. Google Cloud Platform (GCP) & Microsoft Azure had strong quarters with about 28% annual revenue growth each. But the story in this quarter’s reports is AI.

AI Search 266
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5 Interesting Learnings from Salesforce at $40 Billion in ARR

SaaStr

Perhaps most importantly, Salesforce has leaned deeply into AI … and while the usage is impressive, so far it hasn’t materially changed growth. Nvidia, Google Cloud, Azure, etc. Salesforce May Be Hiring 1,000+ Reps To Sell AI, But Overall Sales & Marketing Spend is down From 32% of revenue a year ago to 30% today.

Scale 192
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Lopsided AI Revenues

Tom Tunguz

Which is the best business in AI at the moment? I analyzed Q4 revenue data from publicly traded companies across multiple sectorssoftware companies, consulting firms, and hardware manufacturers to determine which segment dominates the AI market. IBM reported $2b, which was a big surprise to me.

AI 247
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Clouded Judgement 2.7.25 - "Group + Triage" AI Systems

Clouded Judgement

Subscribe now “Grouping + AI” for Triage One area I’m quite excited to see AI revolutionize is “grouping + triage” workflows. Many of them AI based. I do think LLMs will really help turbo charge these markets though, and finally make the solutions actually useful. Top 5 Median: 22.2x

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Clouded Judgement 4.26.24 - Azure Gives Positive Infra Software Preview

Clouded Judgement

Subscribe now Azure Report - Cloud Infra Looks Good! For software, all eyes were on Azure - which grew 31% YoY (ahead of expectations closer to 29%). Azure doesn’t disclose exact Azure quarterly revenue (they disclose growth rate in absolute terms and in constant currency), but there are good estimations.

Azure 184
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When 1% Market Share Shifts Represent $5b of Market Cap

Tom Tunguz

If it wasn’t clear before, AI is the single biggest revenue driver in cloud. Microsoft’s Azure is winning share directly from Amazon. A one percentage point share shift represents about $750 million of spend or about $5b in market cap. " The rest of Azure is still growing in a nice clip of 24% annually.

Azure 213
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What Happens When AI Performance Asymptotes?

Tom Tunguz

In the past, the bigger the AI model, the better the performance. This is a chart of many recent AI models’ performance according to a broadly accepted benchmark called MMLU. 1 MMLU measures the performance of an AI model compared to a high school student. OpenAI Model Release Date Parameters, B MMLU GPT2 2/14/19 1.5

AI 248