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Clouded Judgement 5.16.25 - Net New ARR Trends

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Net New ARR Trends We’re about halfway through Q1 ‘25 earnings season. For those who don’t, I will take quarterly subscription revenue x 4 as a proxy for ARR. Follow along to stay up to date!

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Clouded Judgement - 3.28.25 - The New AI Risk Curve

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Let’s rewind the clock back to the pre-cloud days. Fast forward to the launch of AWS and the public cloud. There was an exponential drop off in costs / complexity to start a company going from on prem to cloud.

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Clouded Judgement 3.21.25 - M&A Roars Back

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. With more recent cloud software companies, there was a lot of organic expansion - ie expanding into new markets and capabilities through internal product development. Subscribe now Share Clouded Judgement Leave a comment

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Clouded Judgement 12.20.24 - The Fed Bomb

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4). Companies that do not disclose subscription rev have been left out of the analysis and are listed as NA.

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Clouded Judgement 1.24.25 - The Year of Enterprise AI

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. It might also boost sales forecasting accuracy by using your enterprise’s historical transaction data to predict future trends more reliably. Subscribe now Share Clouded Judgement Leave a comment Follow along to stay up to date!

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Clouded Judgement 3.7.25 - Economic Growth Slowing?

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. We’ll see how these consensus estimates trend over the year, but the initial guides out of the gate do not inspire confidence that 2025 will be a year of out performance. Subscribe now Share Clouded Judgement Leave a comment

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Clouded Judgement 6.6.25 - How to Spot ERR

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. ARR (annual recurring revenue) is a hallmark SaaS metric rooted in predictability. However, many companies misuse ARR and count forms of non-recurring revenue as ARR, confusing the metric. Follow along to stay up to date!

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