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Clouded Judgement 3.22.24 - ERR vs ARR and the Conundrum of AI Revenue Streams Today

Clouded Judgement

Subscribe now ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) vs ERR (Experimental Runrate Revenue) ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) is one of the most popular SaaS (Non-GAAP) metrics. For SaaS businesses that target smaller SMB customer segments, gross retention is typically in the mid to low 80’s with net expansion in the ~105% range.

AI 183
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5 Interesting Learnings from DigitalOcean at $500,000,000 in ARR

SaaStr

Focusing on smaller developers, in some ways it’s been a bit overshadowed by AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud. But it’s a great case study on how nailing a niche, and staying focused on a core ICP in a huge market, can pay off. It knows its strengths and the SMB Cloud segment is still growing 27% a year. #3.

Azure 216
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A Look Back at Q4 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

The first few months of this year felt like a lot of churning in the market. It looks at the YoY dollar change in quarterly revenue from the hyperscalers (just looking at Azure / AWS because the data goes back further) going back a few years. Beating consensus revenue estimates is the first aspect of a successful quarter.

Cloud 177
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5 Interesting Learnings from Xero. As It Crosses $650m in ARR.

SaaStr

What lessons can we learn from this huge Kiwi SMB success, for other founders? Here are a few: All the way until $600m+ ARR, the majority of Xero’s new bookings and revenue still came from Australia and New Zealand! But yes, the core market is mature — but at $640m+ ARR. Xero’s SMB churn isn’t zero.

SMB 219
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Clouded Judgement 6.9.23 - Recap of Consumption Trends in Q1 '23

Clouded Judgement

Expansion revenue is still declining (we see this in falling net retention rates), but gross retention remains strong. Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework. Multiples shown below are calculated by taking the Enterprise Value (market cap + debt - cash) / NTM revenue. Overall Stats: Overall Median: 5.7x

Trends 130
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Gartner: SaaS Spending Will Grow Another 40% in Next 2 Years Alone

SaaStr

After polling CIOs, Gartner found that total SaaS spend will grow from $100B in 2020 to $140B in 2022: A few interesting implications and learnings: The growth in SaaS buying should give you a +20% a year boost on top of your other sales and marketing efforts. That’s a huge tailwind. Go grab your piece. This is your time, folks.

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Snowflake, CrowdStike and SumoLogic: “How to Leverage the Cloud Giants to Scale to 100 Million ARR and Beyond”

SaaStr

And it’s one of the three large cloud vendors that we all know: Microsoft, AWS, and Google. AWS’s marketplace has seen 1.5 Rico Mallozzi: So marketplaces are fundamentally changing, go to market motions for a lot of enterprise technology companies. Azure’s marketplace has over 4 million monthly visitors.

Scale 203