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Clouded Judgement 4.26.24 - Azure Gives Positive Infra Software Preview

Clouded Judgement

Subscribe now Azure Report - Cloud Infra Looks Good! For software, all eyes were on Azure - which grew 31% YoY (ahead of expectations closer to 29%). Azure doesn’t disclose exact Azure quarterly revenue (they disclose growth rate in absolute terms and in constant currency), but there are good estimations.

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A Look Back at Q1 '24 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Through these interactions, I’ve built up mental benchmarks for metrics on which I place extra emphasis. My hope is that this analysis can provide startup entrepreneurs with a framework for how to manage their businesses around SaaS metrics (e.g., This metric is more self-explanatory, so I won’t go into detail.

Cloud 318
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Clouded Judgement 2.7.25 - "Group + Triage" AI Systems

Clouded Judgement

They each have some of the largest cloud businesses in the world in AWS, Azure and Google Cloud respectively. Given most software companies are not profitable, or not generating meaningful FCF, it’s the only metric to compare the entire industry against. Overall, there was weakness across the board.

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Clouded Judgement 10.11.24 - Budget Flush

Clouded Judgement

The hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP) are always some of the first companies to report earnings during earnings season (coming up in 2 weeks), and there’s always a read through for consumption names (meaning people believe there’s a correlation). I created this subset to show companies where FCF is a relevant valuation metric.

Cloud 167
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SaaS Rule of 40 Drivers Using KeyBanc’s 2021 SaaS Survey

SaaStr

The SaaS “Rule of 40” has gained popularity due to its simplicity, requiring only two common financial metrics to be added together. KBCM helpfully presents a very detailed comparison of “Rule of 40” Qualifiers (i.e. Ultimately, the “Rule of 40” is ONLY a metric.

SaaS 321
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Clouded Judgement 10.27.23 - Cloud Giants Report Q3 '23

Clouded Judgement

Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q3 ‘23 Not a great signal for software this week from the Cloud Giants (AWS, Azure and Google Cloud)…After Q2 (3 months ago), the tone from the Cloud Giants around optimizations was largely: optimizations have started to ease, and net new workloads have picked up. Staggering scale already.

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Clouded Judgement 2.2.24 - Cloud Giants Report Q4 '23

Clouded Judgement

” Microsoft on Azure : “And I think last quarter, we said one, we are going to continue to have these cycles where people will build new workloads. Azure (excluding Azure AI) continued to decelerate, and while AWS did come in ahead of expectations, it wasn’t a blow out.