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Clouded Judgement 4.26.24 - Azure Gives Positive Infra Software Preview

Clouded Judgement

Subscribe now Azure Report - Cloud Infra Looks Good! For software, all eyes were on Azure - which grew 31% YoY (ahead of expectations closer to 29%). Azure doesn’t disclose exact Azure quarterly revenue (they disclose growth rate in absolute terms and in constant currency), but there are good estimations.

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The Critical Question Facing Web3 Infrastructure Startups

Tom Tunguz

One invoice. I would pay each product provider in their own token: one for storage, compute, caching/CDN, email subscription management, etc. Perhaps this dynamic drives consolidation in the market, paralleling the web2 infrastructure hypermarts of AWS, GCP, and Azure. I paid for them each in US dollars every month.

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Clouded Judgement 10.27.23 - Cloud Giants Report Q3 '23

Clouded Judgement

Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q3 ‘23 Not a great signal for software this week from the Cloud Giants (AWS, Azure and Google Cloud)…After Q2 (3 months ago), the tone from the Cloud Giants around optimizations was largely: optimizations have started to ease, and net new workloads have picked up. Staggering scale already.

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Clouded Judgement 2.2.24 - Cloud Giants Report Q4 '23

Clouded Judgement

” Microsoft on Azure : “And I think last quarter, we said one, we are going to continue to have these cycles where people will build new workloads. Azure (excluding Azure AI) continued to decelerate, and while AWS did come in ahead of expectations, it wasn’t a blow out. Overall Stats: Overall Median: 6.0x

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A Look Back at Q4 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

The first few months of this year felt like a lot of churning in the market. It looks at the YoY dollar change in quarterly revenue from the hyperscalers (just looking at Azure / AWS because the data goes back further) going back a few years. To calculate implied ARR I take the subscription revenue in a quarter and multiply it by 4.

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Clouded Judgement 5.3.24 - Hyperscalers Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Reports

Clouded Judgement

We now have results from the three hypersclaers (AWS / Azure / GCP). Multiples shown below are calculated by taking the Enterprise Value (market cap + debt - cash) / NTM revenue. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

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Clouded Judgement 4.28.23

Clouded Judgement

AWS (Amazon), Azure (Microsoft), and Google Cloud (Google) all reported this week. Azure reported on Tuesday and gave us that glimmer of hope. Azure : Coming into the quarter, a growth rate that would have satisfied the market would have been ~29%. Azure came in at 31% (constant currency).

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