article thumbnail

Clouded Judgement 3.29.24 - Q4 Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. For the majority of the software universe, Q4 earning season was not a catalyst for future forecasts to go up. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

Cloud 278
article thumbnail

Clouded Judgement 10.27.23 - Cloud Giants Report Q3 '23

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. I believe one of the bigger reasons software has held up despite the run up in the 10Y to 5% is the expectation for re-acceleration (ie numbers / forecasts going up). Follow along to stay up to date! which feels unlikely.

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Clouded Judgement 1.26.24 - Q4 Earnings Season Kicks Off

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Many public software companies don’t report ARR, so I’ll take the quarterly subscription revenue and multiply it by 4 to approximate ARR. Subscribe now Share Clouded Judgement Leave a comment Follow along to stay up to date!

Cloud 161
article thumbnail

Clouded Judgement 1.13.23

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. That was more broadly a period of ZIRP, and it’s interesting that today the 10Y isn’t hugely different from where it was in the period of 2010 - 2020 Morgan Stanley CIO Survey Everyone is eagerly awaiting 2023 forecasts to be “de-risked.”

Cloud 130
article thumbnail

A Look Back at Q4 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Q4 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. We then dipped below the trendline as we hit the period of “cloud optimizations,” and things have started to rebound. To calculate implied ARR I take the subscription revenue in a quarter and multiply it by 4.

Cloud 177
article thumbnail

Clouded Judgement 1.6.23

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Cloud Downgrades This week UBS came out with a couple research reports citing concerns in AWS / Azure growth. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

Cloud 130
article thumbnail

Clouded Judgement 3.3.23

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. There’s risk that the rebound is pushed further out in the future which makes it tricky to forecast / know when things get better. Companies that do not disclose subscription rev have been left out of the analysis and are listed as NA.

Cloud 141