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Clouded Judgement 3.29.24 - Q4 Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. For the majority of the software universe, Q4 earning season was not a catalyst for future forecasts to go up. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

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Clouded Judgement 9.13.24 - 2024 Estimates

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Generally, software companies follow a beat-and-raise model in their forecasts. There’s less margin for error in software forecasting, and “beats and raises” have become harder to achieve than ever before.

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A Look Back at Q1 '24 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Q1 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. These charts clearly show the ZIRP pull forward, the ensuing cloud cost optimizations, and then the recovery. GCP data is a bit more noisy as they don’t disclose GCP itself, but rather Google Cloud which includes GSuite.

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OneStream: Benchmarking the S1 Data

Clouded Judgement

There’s a lot of info to digest, so in the sections below I’ll try and pull out the relevant financial information and benchmark it against current cloud businesses. The purpose of the detailed information is to help investors (both institutional and retail) make informed investment decisions. Financial and Operational Reporting.

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Clouded Judgement 1.24.25 - The Year of Enterprise AI

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. It might also boost sales forecasting accuracy by using your enterprise’s historical transaction data to predict future trends more reliably. Subscribe now Share Clouded Judgement Leave a comment Follow along to stay up to date!

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Clouded Judgement 10.27.23 - Cloud Giants Report Q3 '23

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. I believe one of the bigger reasons software has held up despite the run up in the 10Y to 5% is the expectation for re-acceleration (ie numbers / forecasts going up). Follow along to stay up to date! which feels unlikely.

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Clouded Judgement 9.20.24 - Rate Cuts Begin!

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Officials adjusted their unemployment rate forecast for this years end from 4% to 4.4% After the cuts this week, and with the forecasts for the rest of the year, the fed is telling us there will be ~1% of aggregate cuts this year.

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