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Predicting Cloud Growth Rates for 2023

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. Yesterday, Google & Amazon announced earnings which completes the picture. A year ago, AWS, GCP, & Azure averaged 44% annual growth. Google: [GCP] saw slower growth of consumption as customers optimized GCP costs.

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A Look Back at Q1 '24 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Q1 earnings season for cloud businesses is now behind us. These charts clearly show the ZIRP pull forward, the ensuing cloud cost optimizations, and then the recovery. GCP data is a bit more noisy as they don’t disclose GCP itself, but rather Google Cloud which includes GSuite.

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Clouded Judgement 9.27.24 - The Foundation of Foundation Models

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Foundation Models Are to AI what S3 was to the Public Cloud Many people look at 2006 as the birth of the public cloud - the year Amazon launched AWS. Follow along to stay up to date! However, a couple things happened.

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Clouded Judgement 10.11.24 - Budget Flush

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. The hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP) are always some of the first companies to report earnings during earnings season (coming up in 2 weeks), and there’s always a read through for consumption names (meaning people believe there’s a correlation).

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Grey Skies in Cloud Earnings

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. This week Microsoft, Google/ Alphabet, & Amazon reported their third quarter figures. Google Cloud Platform. At a 7x multiple of revenue, that is another $84b of market cap creation, in theory.

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Clouded Judgement 8.2.24 - Uncertainty Everywhere

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Today, the market seems a lot more worried about business fundamentals / growth. Cloud Giants Report Q2 We also got the Q2 quarters from AWS / Azure / GCP this week! Follow along to stay up to date! Today it’s ~5x.

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The Health of Cloud Spending in Mid-2022

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. This week Microsoft, Google/ Alphabet, & Amazon report their figures. Today, Microsoft & Google revealed the health of their infrastructure business units. Google Cloud Platform. Microsoft Azure.