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Predicting Cloud Growth Rates for 2023

Tom Tunguz

A year ago, AWS, GCP, & Azure averaged 44% annual growth. So far in the first month of the year, AWS year-over-year revenue growth is in the mid-teens. So far in the first month of the year, AWS year-over-year revenue growth is in the mid-teens. Google: [We] are pushing Google Cloud to Profitability.

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Clouded Judgement 5.31.24 - Software Sentiment Crumbles

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. ” As growth starts to slow, it gets harder and harder to justify using revenue multiples as a primary valuation metric. And the promise of the software business model is as companies mature and go out of growth mode the profits will show up.

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Clouded Judgement 5.3.24 - Hyperscalers Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Reports

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Results Q1 earnings seasons has officially kicked off! We now have results from the three hypersclaers (AWS / Azure / GCP). Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework.

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Clouded Judgement 5.10.24 - Software Weakness Across the Board

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. And no one raised full year guide >2% The median “beat” (Q1 revenue over Q1 consensus estimates) was 1.5%, which is the lowest it’s been in the last 4 years Overall, it’s been a TOUGH quarter for software companies.

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Grey Skies in Cloud Earnings

Tom Tunguz

Google Cloud Platform. Infrastructure revenue growth averaged 33% this quarter, which is astounding considering we’re talking about businesses that sum to more than $50b of revenue per quarter. At a 7x multiple of revenue, that is another $84b of market cap creation, in theory. Microsoft Azure.

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The Health of Cloud Spending in Mid-2022

Tom Tunguz

This week Microsoft, Google/ Alphabet, & Amazon report their figures. Today, Microsoft & Google revealed the health of their infrastructure business units. Google Cloud Platform. That suggests the cloud market is quite strong. GCP’s data point is less rosy. Microsoft Azure.

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Clouded Judgement 8.4.23 - Cloud Giants Q2 Update

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Cloud Giants Update “What we're seeing in the quarter is that those cost optimizations, while still going on, are moderating and many maybe behind us in some of our large customers. Follow along to stay up to date!

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