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A Look Back at Q4 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

It looks at the YoY dollar change in quarterly revenue from the hyperscalers (just looking at Azure / AWS because the data goes back further) going back a few years. If we break this down and look at Azure and AWS independently (graphs below), you’ll see how the AWS “swings” were a lot more volatile.

Cloud 177
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Clouded Judgement 6.9.23 - Recap of Consumption Trends in Q1 '23

Clouded Judgement

Very healthy new business (new customer) acquisition. Usage on Snowflake is driven by queries run on Snowflake Azure: Neutral Tone With Strength in AI Overall I’d characterize Azure’s quarter as a net positive. They guided to 26-27% growth in Azure in Q2 (with 1% coming from AI).

Trends 130
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Clouded Judgement 1.27.23

Clouded Judgement

Azure (Microsoft) Quarter The week the first of the cloud giants reported - Azure. Early Look at 2023 Guides Given the Azure weakness reported on Tuesday, all software tumbled Wednesday morning with most names down 5-10%. Companies that do not disclose subscription rev have been left out of the analysis and are listed as NA.

Cloud 141
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SaaS companies quickly replacing subscriptions with usage-based pricing

OPEXEngine

The pricing model, which leads to increases or decreases in revenue based on how much customers engage with a service, has been gaining on the more traditional subscription model as the main way SaaS companies make money. It has tended to be used most in infrastructure platforms, like AWS, Google Cloud, and Azure. Enterprise companies.

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Four Sales Compensation Tactics for Consumption-Based GTM with MongoDB’s SVP of Sales

SaaStr

Then, we moved to a more customer-friendly model with SaaS and subscription-based pricing. What’s evolved over the years and is driven by hyper-scalers like Google Azure, AWS, Twilio, and Stripe is the consumption-based model. The first might be market acquisition. There are still some complexities around SaaS-based approaches.

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Clouded Judgement 3.22.24 - ERR vs ARR and the Conundrum of AI Revenue Streams Today

Clouded Judgement

And once a customer has paid back the initial acquisitions costs to acquire it, all future streams of revenue can loosely be described as a cash flow annuity. ” Let’s look at consumption revenue - this is also not technically recurring! It’s probably better described as re-occurring vs recurring.

AI 183
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Clouded Judgement 11.3.23 - No Sign of Re-Acceleration in Software

Clouded Judgement

Maybe with the exception of hyperscalers (particularly Azure). Namely, two large customers caused a huge issue (New Relic account growing very slowly post their acquisition, and a gaming company going back on prem - which I’m guessing means going to self managed Kafka?). All the headwinds that have persisted continue to persist.