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Clouded Judgement 5.10.24 - Software Weakness Across the Board

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Q1 Software Earnings Are… Not Good We’re about halfway through Q1 earnings season, and it’s not been pretty. Follow along to stay up to date! Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework. Top 5 Median: 15.5x

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Clouded Judgement 5.3.24 - Hyperscalers Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Reports

Clouded Judgement

Every week I’ll provide updates on the latest trends in cloud software companies. Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Results Q1 earnings seasons has officially kicked off! We now have results from the three hypersclaers (AWS / Azure / GCP). Of course, it could also just be a bad sample set.

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Predicting Cloud Growth Rates for 2023

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. Yesterday, Google & Amazon announced earnings which completes the picture. A year ago, AWS, GCP, & Azure averaged 44% annual growth. Google: [GCP] saw slower growth of consumption as customers optimized GCP costs.

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Snow Angels Come Early to Data : Snowflake's Strength Spells Success for Startups

Tom Tunguz

Snowflake announced earnings yesterday, echoing the strength within software companies more broadly & underscoring the shift in enterprise buyer behavior to normal after three quarters of extensive cost cuts. " As with many other companies reporting strength in the market, AI & unstructured data workloads are fueling growth.

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The Health of Cloud Spending in Mid-2022

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. This week Microsoft, Google/ Alphabet, & Amazon report their figures. Today, Microsoft & Google revealed the health of their infrastructure business units. That suggests the cloud market is quite strong.

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Grey Skies in Cloud Earnings

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. This week Microsoft, Google/ Alphabet, & Amazon reported their third quarter figures. Google Cloud Platform. At a 7x multiple of revenue, that is another $84b of market cap creation, in theory.

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The 4 Questions Startups Should Ask Themselves about Building with Generative AI

Tom Tunguz

In the cloud, AWS, Azure, & GCP have created about as much market cap as all the top 100 B2B & B2C publics built on cloud (Netflix, ServiceNow, AirBnb, etc). Market : how to compete with incumbents? But there are 100 applications compared to 3 infrastructure vendors. Moats : how to develop competitive advantage?