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Predicting Cloud Growth Rates for 2023

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. Yesterday, Google & Amazon announced earnings which completes the picture. A year ago, AWS, GCP, & Azure averaged 44% annual growth. So far in the first month of the year, AWS year-over-year revenue growth is in the mid-teens.

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Snow Angels Come Early to Data : Snowflake's Strength Spells Success for Startups

Tom Tunguz

“Q3 product revenue grew 34% year-over-year to reach $698 million. " As with many other companies reporting strength in the market, AI & unstructured data workloads are fueling growth. And as a result, our salespeople are really not inclined to do much in GCP.”

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The Health of Cloud Spending in Mid-2022

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. This week Microsoft, Google/ Alphabet, & Amazon report their figures. Today, Microsoft & Google revealed the health of their infrastructure business units. That suggests the cloud market is quite strong.

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Grey Skies in Cloud Earnings

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. This week Microsoft, Google/ Alphabet, & Amazon reported their third quarter figures. Google Cloud Platform. At a 7x multiple of revenue, that is another $84b of market cap creation, in theory.

Cloud 224
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Clouded Judgement 5.3.24 - Hyperscalers Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Reports

Clouded Judgement

We now have results from the three hypersclaers (AWS / Azure / GCP). Quarterly Reports Summary Top 10 EV / NTM Revenue Multiples Top 10 Weekly Share Price Movement Update on Multiples SaaS businesses are generally valued on a multiple of their revenue - in most cases the projected revenue for the next 12 months.

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Signs We've Touched the Bottom

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early trends in the software market to inform startups’ plans for 2023. Yesterday, Microsoft & Google announced earnings. Both Google & Microsoft announced growth rates in GCP & Azure that held steady from one quarter to the next.

Azure 202
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Microsoft's Billion Dollar AI Business

Tom Tunguz

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early trends in the software market to inform startups’ plans for 2023. Yesterday, Microsoft & Google announced earnings. Google Cloud Platform (GCP) & Microsoft Azure had strong quarters with about 28% annual revenue growth each.

AI Search 195