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Snow Angels Come Early to Data : Snowflake's Strength Spells Success for Startups

Tom Tunguz

“Q3 product revenue grew 34% year-over-year to reach $698 million. " As with many other companies reporting strength in the market, AI & unstructured data workloads are fueling growth. “I don’t even hear the words AI and budget in the same sentence.”

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Clouded Judgement 5.31.24 - Software Sentiment Crumbles

Clouded Judgement

” As growth starts to slow, it gets harder and harder to justify using revenue multiples as a primary valuation metric. AI Investment Cycle Picking Up - Companies are (rightfully) investing in building out their capabilities around AI. Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework.

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Clouded Judgement 5.10.24 - Software Weakness Across the Board

Clouded Judgement

And no one raised full year guide >2% The median “beat” (Q1 revenue over Q1 consensus estimates) was 1.5%, which is the lowest it’s been in the last 4 years Overall, it’s been a TOUGH quarter for software companies. So far - you’re either tied to AI tailwinds, or it’s rough out there.

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Clouded Judgement 11.10.23 - OpenAI Updates + Datadog Gives the All-Clear?

Clouded Judgement

When I think about the monetization of AI (and which “layers” monetize first) I’ve always thought it would follow the below order, with each layer lagging the one that comes before it. Model providers (OpenAI, Anthropic, etc as companies start building out AI). 2024 will be the year of AI applications!

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Clouded Judgement 7.28.23 - Optimization Cycles and Economy Update

Clouded Judgement

AI = Data + Compute I’ll continue beating this drum, but we got two great quotes from Azure and AWS this week. Satya at Microsoft said “Every AI app starts with data and having a comprehensive data and analytics platform is more important than ever.” AWS reports next week. So what did we learn?

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Clouded Judgement 8.11.23 - Datadog Consumption Trends

Clouded Judgement

While the overall median revenue multiple of the software universe is ~6x (which is ~25% below the long term average of ~8x), high growth software is currently trading at a premium to it’s long term average (9.4x And everyone hoping for AI acceleration will need to wait. Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework.

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Thanks to Calendly, Drift, Reprise, Secureframe, and Shift Paradigm for Sponsoring SaaStr Annual 2022!

SaaStr

Using the Drift Conversation Cloud, businesses can personalize experiences that lead to more quality pipeline, revenue and lifelong customers. More than 5,000 customers use Drift to deliver a more enjoyable and more human buying experience that builds trust and accelerates revenue. Usually, it takes a paradigm shift to grow.