Clouded Judgement
DECEMBER 1, 2023
Subscribe now Amazon ReInvent This week Amazon had their annual AWS ReInvent conference. Couple takeaways for me: 2024 is shaping up to be the “prototype to production” year for AI. On the former - we’ll see a lot of these experiments translate to production facing apps in 2024.
SaaStr
NOVEMBER 18, 2023
Something that’s both not surprising but also pretty impactful: 57% of venture-backed startups will have to go “back to market” in 2024 to raise more capital. And realistically, most won’t have the metrics to pull off another round. But many will find 2024, those stretches have stretched as far as they can.
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Clouded Judgement
APRIL 11, 2024
Through these interactions, I’ve built up mental benchmarks for metrics on which I place extra emphasis. My hope is that this analysis can provide startup entrepreneurs with a framework for how to manage their businesses around SaaS metrics (e.g., This metric is more self-explanatory, so I won’t go into detail.
Clouded Judgement
OCTOBER 27, 2023
Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q3 ‘23 Not a great signal for software this week from the Cloud Giants (AWS, Azure and Google Cloud)…After Q2 (3 months ago), the tone from the Cloud Giants around optimizations was largely: optimizations have started to ease, and net new workloads have picked up. That is not new.”
Clouded Judgement
FEBRUARY 16, 2024
” From AWS (paraphrased): They said they expect the reaccleration they saw in Q4 to continue into 2024 2024 Estimate Updates One important metric I’m tracking this quarter is the change in 2024 estimates pre / post earnings. I think some of the optimization has been accomplished.”
Clouded Judgement
SEPTEMBER 15, 2023
Let’s put aside the short term, and think about what the drivers will be of software valuations over the next couple quarters into the first half of 2024. Are 2024 estimates too high? Are 2024 estimates correct, and what level of re-acceleration is baked in? As you can see, for the most part 2024 estimates stayed constant.
Clouded Judgement
APRIL 28, 2023
AWS (Amazon), Azure (Microsoft), and Google Cloud (Google) all reported this week. Then AWS appeared to add fuel to that hope before giving us a huge rug pull. After all, they had a lot of AI tailwinds, and benefited tremendously from consolidation (without a headwind of a larger base of smaller startups, like AWS).
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