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net retention and CAC payback). GCP data is a bit more noisy as they don’t disclose GCP itself, but rather Google Cloud which includes GSuite. Net Revenue Retention High net revenue retention is the fourth aspect of a successful quarter, and one of my favorite metrics to evaluate in private SaaS companies.
For software companies, this phenomenon can be a tailwind, as it drives accelerated deal closures and increased sales velocity, sometimes with less price sensitivity from buyers looking to quickly deplete their budgets. As a result, software vendors often see an uptick in revenue and bookings during these periods. Cloudflare is up 17%.
Microsoft launched Azure in 2010, and Google launched GCP to the public in 2011 (they launched a preview of Google App Engine in 2008, but made it publicly available in 2011). On top of that- we HAVE seen significant pricing pressure. S3 has dropped nearly 97% in price, while EC2 has fallen nearly 90%!
We now have results from the three hypersclaers (AWS / Azure / GCP). Quarterly Reports Summary Top 10 EV / NTM Revenue Multiples Top 10 Weekly Share Price Movement Update on Multiples SaaS businesses are generally valued on a multiple of their revenue - in most cases the projected revenue for the next 12 months.
This can lead to an airpocket of valuation as companies transition to a different primary valuation metric Outside of the hypserscalers (Azure, AWS, GCP) who have uniquely benefited from AI revenue (mainly selling compute), everyone else has largely struggled. Coming in to Q1 there was broader optimism. Q4’s were generally good!
All 3 (AWS, Azure, GCP) saw positive reacceleration Quarterly Reports Summary Top 10 EV / NTM Revenue Multiples Top 10 Weekly Share Price Movement Update on Multiples SaaS businesses are generally valued on a multiple of their revenue - in most cases the projected revenue for the next 12 months.
Hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP as companies look for cloud GPUs who aren’t building out their own data centers) Infra (Data layer, orchestration, monitoring, ops, etc) Durable Applications We’ve clearly well underway of the first 3 layers monetizing. Model providers (OpenAI, Anthropic, etc as companies start building out AI).
Cloud Giants Report Q2 We also got the Q2 quarters from AWS / Azure / GCP this week! Quarterly Reports Summary Top 10 EV / NTM Revenue Multiples Top 10 Weekly Share Price Movement Update on Multiples SaaS businesses are generally valued on a multiple of their revenue - in most cases the projected revenue for the next 12 months.
Hyperscalers Report Quarterly Earnings This week we saw AWS (Amazon), GCP (Google) and Azure (Microsoft) report earnings. At the same time, I’d guess we’re seeing discounts on egress fees and a lot of customers shifting from spot pricing (highest marginal cost) to committed contracts (lower marginal cost).
You can see more detail about their net new ARR added each quarter below Google Cloud Growth came in at 28%, which was the same as Q1. Then Q2 came in at 12% (must have seen improvements throughout the quarter). And most importantly, they’ve seen these positive trends continue. Revenue multiples are a shorthand valuation framework.
Next week we get all 3 hyperscalers reporting (AWS from Amazon, Azure from Microsoft, and GCP from Google). Top 10 EV / NTM Revenue Multiples Top 10 Weekly Share Price Movement Update on Multiples SaaS businesses are generally valued on a multiple of their revenue - in most cases the projected revenue for the next 12 months.
Additionally, the free plan offers two months of log retention and one status page. Some of the additional functions include: Voice calls and SMS alerts 24-month log retention One-minute checks Cron job monitoring Keyword monitoring Maintenance windows SSL certificate expiry monitoring Advanced notification settings Unlimited status pages.
The good news is gross retention (ie churn) stayed constant. The hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP) are seeing some uptick, but this is largely from selling compute (ie cloud GPUs). Not quite… The earnings call gave us more detail, and painted a more positive picture than just the numbers may suggest.
This week we had two of the hypserscalers report (Microsoft / Azure and Google / GCP), and everyone was eager to see their results. The bars represent the YoY revenue growth, and the yellow line is the stock price. As you can see, the stock price bottomed and started going up in Q4 ‘08. AWS reports next week.
Let’s say your second product builds a new product that is growing healthily with a smaller group of customers than the core business at a much lower price point. Bigger swings generally mean a longer amount of time building toward something that could work in the future. Google on GCP? Amazon on Alexa?
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