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Clouded Judgement 5.10.24 - Software Weakness Across the Board

Clouded Judgement

So far - you’re either tied to AI tailwinds, or it’s rough out there. And in the public universe, it’s really only been the hyperscalers who’ve benefited from AI. Given most software companies are not profitable, or not generating meaningful FCF, it’s the only metric to compare the entire industry against.

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Clouded Judgement 11.10.23 - OpenAI Updates + Datadog Gives the All-Clear?

Clouded Judgement

When I think about the monetization of AI (and which “layers” monetize first) I’ve always thought it would follow the below order, with each layer lagging the one that comes before it. Model providers (OpenAI, Anthropic, etc as companies start building out AI). 2024 will be the year of AI applications!

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Clouded Judgement 8.11.23 - Datadog Consumption Trends

Clouded Judgement

And everyone hoping for AI acceleration will need to wait. The hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP) are seeing some uptick, but this is largely from selling compute (ie cloud GPUs). In summary, I don’t expect real AI tailwinds to show up in non-hyperscaler businesses in a meaningful way through the rest of 2023.

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Clouded Judgement 7.28.23 - Optimization Cycles and Economy Update

Clouded Judgement

AI = Data + Compute I’ll continue beating this drum, but we got two great quotes from Azure and AWS this week. Satya at Microsoft said “Every AI app starts with data and having a comprehensive data and analytics platform is more important than ever.” Subscribe now Busy week! AWS reports next week.

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Tabular: Turning Your Data Swamp into a Data Lakehouse with Apache Iceberg

Clouded Judgement

The rise of foundation models and generative AI only furthers this trend. But this isn’t another post about AI, it’s about the future of data infrastructure. As Frank Slootman (Snowflake CEO) said, “Enterprises are also realizing that they cannot have an AI strategy without a data strategy to base it on.”

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Salesforce’s Mike Kreaden on how to build a platform to drive growth

Intercom, Inc.

He joined me for a chat that ranged from the role of AI to how they choose startups to incubate. Customer nurturing now starts from the first touch, and AI can help with that. But I think that Salesforce helped to establish the business optics – if not the metrics and KPIs – that are needed to actually effectively run a business.

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