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Pilot: 57% of Venture Startups Will Need to Raise More In 2024

SaaStr

Something that’s both not surprising but also pretty impactful: 57% of venture-backed startups will have to go “back to market” in 2024 to raise more capital. And realistically, most won’t have the metrics to pull off another round. But many will find 2024, those stretches have stretched as far as they can.

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A Look Back at Q4 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

Through these interactions, I’ve built up mental benchmarks for metrics on which I place extra emphasis. My hope is that this analysis can provide startup entrepreneurs with a framework for how to manage their businesses around SaaS metrics (e.g., This metric is more self-explanatory, so I won’t go into detail.

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Clouded Judgement 10.27.23 - Cloud Giants Report Q3 '23

Clouded Judgement

Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q3 ‘23 Not a great signal for software this week from the Cloud Giants (AWS, Azure and Google Cloud)…After Q2 (3 months ago), the tone from the Cloud Giants around optimizations was largely: optimizations have started to ease, and net new workloads have picked up. Staggering scale already.

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Clouded Judgement 11.3.23 - No Sign of Re-Acceleration in Software

Clouded Judgement

Said another way, I believe that software valuations were holding up so well in the face of a ~5% 10Y because the market expected acceleration and 2024 numbers to come up. Maybe with the exception of hyperscalers (particularly Azure). And now, it’s unclear when that re-acceleration will happen. And the median guide is 0.4%

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Clouded Judgement 4.28.23

Clouded Judgement

AWS (Amazon), Azure (Microsoft), and Google Cloud (Google) all reported this week. Azure reported on Tuesday and gave us that glimmer of hope. Azure : Coming into the quarter, a growth rate that would have satisfied the market would have been ~29%. Azure came in at 31% (constant currency). Follow along to stay up to date!

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Clouded Judgement 4.21.23

Clouded Judgement

Next week we get all 3 hyperscalers reporting (AWS from Amazon, Azure from Microsoft, and GCP from Google). Let’s double click on Azure. ” They anticipate Q1 will be the peak pressure on cloud spend, and we may see a re-acceleration heading into 2024. Q1 Earnings Season We’re on the eve of Q1 earning season.

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Clouded Judgement 5.26.23

Clouded Judgement

Azure / Confluent / Datadog reported a few weeks back (they all had March quarter ends), and their commentary suggested the worst was behind us. An element of re-acceleration is definitely priced in to current 2024 estimates, so we may see 2024 estimates fall. This means we got commentary for the first time on May trends.

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