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Clouded Judgement 10.27.23 - Cloud Giants Report Q3 '23

Clouded Judgement

Subscribe now Cloud Giants Report Q3 ‘23 Not a great signal for software this week from the Cloud Giants (AWS, Azure and Google Cloud)…After Q2 (3 months ago), the tone from the Cloud Giants around optimizations was largely: optimizations have started to ease, and net new workloads have picked up. which feels unlikely.

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A Look Back at Q4 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

It looks at the YoY dollar change in quarterly revenue from the hyperscalers (just looking at Azure / AWS because the data goes back further) going back a few years. If we break this down and look at Azure and AWS independently (graphs below), you’ll see how the AWS “swings” were a lot more volatile.

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Clouded Judgement 7.28.23 - Optimization Cycles and Economy Update

Clouded Judgement

AI = Data + Compute I’ll continue beating this drum, but we got two great quotes from Azure and AWS this week. Powell said the Fed staff no longer is forecasting a recession. This week we had two of the hypserscalers report (Microsoft / Azure and Google / GCP), and everyone was eager to see their results.

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Clouded Judgement 1.6.23

Clouded Judgement

Cloud Downgrades This week UBS came out with a couple research reports citing concerns in AWS / Azure growth. This brings me back to AWS / Azure downgrades. This was the worst tone that we’ve heard in years from large AWS/Azure partners, a group that usually expresses different shades of optimism about AWS/Azure growth.”

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Clouded Judgement 5.26.23

Clouded Judgement

Azure / Confluent / Datadog reported a few weeks back (they all had March quarter ends), and their commentary suggested the worst was behind us. There’s a lot more volatility baked into these models, and they’re quite hard to forecast. This means we got commentary for the first time on May trends.

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ChartMogul 2022: Year in Review 

Chart Mogul

With our new destinations, you can send your clean and tidy revenue data to be combined with other data points in: Amazon S3, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure , Snowflake, Amazon Redshift, or Google BigQuery. Many of our customers use MRR movements from ChartMogul to predict churn or generate financial forecasts. That’s a wrap on 2022.

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A Look Back at Q1 '23 Public Cloud Software Earnings

Clouded Judgement

On the Microsoft earnings call they said (related to Azure): “But at some point, workloads just can't be optimized much further. Every public company has a number of equity research analysts covering them who build their own forecasted models, which combine guidance from the company and their own research / sentiment analysis.

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