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Thanks to Bee, ChartMogul, Maast, SecureFrame, and StratusGreen for Sponsoring SaaStr Annual 2023!

SaaStr

ChartMogul is an analytics platform to help you run your subscription business. Our mission is to build powerful and secure cloud software for subscription businesses of all sizes, with a strong emphasis on good design and ease of use.

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Clouded Judgement 5.3.24 - Hyperscalers Report Q1 + Early Look at Software Reports

Clouded Judgement

We now have results from the three hypersclaers (AWS / Azure / GCP). Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4). Companies that do not disclose subscription rev have been left out of the analysis and are listed as NA.

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Thanks to ChartMogul, ChurnZero, Cledara, Secureframe, and Verdane for Sponsoring SaaStr Europa 2023!

SaaStr

ChartMogul is an analytics platform to help you run your subscription business. Our mission is to build powerful and secure cloud software for subscription businesses of all sizes, with a strong emphasis on good design and ease of use.

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The Critical Question Facing Web3 Infrastructure Startups

Tom Tunguz

I would pay each product provider in their own token: one for storage, compute, caching/CDN, email subscription management, etc. Perhaps this dynamic drives consolidation in the market, paralleling the web2 infrastructure hypermarts of AWS, GCP, and Azure. Third, software engineers decentralize only a subset of the app.

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Clouded Judgement 5.10.24 - Software Weakness Across the Board

Clouded Judgement

All 3 (AWS, Azure, GCP) saw positive reacceleration Quarterly Reports Summary Top 10 EV / NTM Revenue Multiples Top 10 Weekly Share Price Movement Update on Multiples SaaS businesses are generally valued on a multiple of their revenue - in most cases the projected revenue for the next 12 months.

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Clouded Judgement 8.4.23 - Cloud Giants Q2 Update

Clouded Judgement

You can see more detail about their net new ARR added each quarter below Azure Growth came in at 27%, and guided to 25-26% growth for Q3. That means we very well could see 27% be the bottom for them as well (assuming they beat their guidance). Then Q2 came in at 12% (must have seen improvements throughout the quarter).

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Clouded Judgement 5.31.24 - Software Sentiment Crumbles

Clouded Judgement

This can lead to an airpocket of valuation as companies transition to a different primary valuation metric Outside of the hypserscalers (Azure, AWS, GCP) who have uniquely benefited from AI revenue (mainly selling compute), everyone else has largely struggled. Coming in to Q1 there was broader optimism. Q4’s were generally good!

Cloud 177