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Clouded Judgement 5.10.24 - Software Weakness Across the Board

Clouded Judgement

So far - you’re either tied to AI tailwinds, or it’s rough out there. And in the public universe, it’s really only been the hyperscalers who’ve benefited from AI. Most public companies don’t report net new ARR, so I’m taking an implied ARR metric (quarterly subscription revenue x 4).

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Clouded Judgement 11.10.23 - OpenAI Updates + Datadog Gives the All-Clear?

Clouded Judgement

When I think about the monetization of AI (and which “layers” monetize first) I’ve always thought it would follow the below order, with each layer lagging the one that comes before it. Model providers (OpenAI, Anthropic, etc as companies start building out AI). 2024 will be the year of AI applications!

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Clouded Judgement 7.28.23 - Optimization Cycles and Economy Update

Clouded Judgement

AI = Data + Compute I’ll continue beating this drum, but we got two great quotes from Azure and AWS this week. Satya at Microsoft said “Every AI app starts with data and having a comprehensive data and analytics platform is more important than ever.” This could be a trend of improving buyer dynamics?

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Clouded Judgement 8.11.23 - Datadog Consumption Trends

Clouded Judgement

If next quarter we get similar commentary that Azure gave us this quarter (“still a couple quarters away” without any specific guidance), then we may see market loose a little patience. And everyone hoping for AI acceleration will need to wait. The question is how patient will they be waiting for this?

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