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Clouded Judgement 4.26.24 - Azure Gives Positive Infra Software Preview

Clouded Judgement

Subscribe now Azure Report - Cloud Infra Looks Good! For software, all eyes were on Azure - which grew 31% YoY (ahead of expectations closer to 29%). Azure doesn’t disclose exact Azure quarterly revenue (they disclose growth rate in absolute terms and in constant currency), but there are good estimations.

Azure 177
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AI Reaccelerating Cloud Growth

Tom Tunguz

This growth is fueled by AI workloads. “Because of our overall differentiation, more than 18,000 organizations now use Azure OpenAI service, including new-to-Azure customers.” ” “Higher-than-expected AI consumption contributed to revenue growth in Azure.

AI Search 297
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Standard Issue AI

Tom Tunguz

“For some companies, [AI is] going to be standard issue like a PC.” Calendar Quarter Azure OpenAI Orgs, k CoPilot Users, m Power Platform Orgs, k 1/1/24 53 1.3 Microsoft’s document database, Cosmos, grew 42% annually, driven by AI. ” The data point suggests AI workloads could be a massive boon for Mongo.

AI 199
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Microsoft's Billion Dollar AI Business

Tom Tunguz

Google Cloud Platform (GCP) & Microsoft Azure had strong quarters with about 28% annual revenue growth each. But the story in this quarter’s reports is AI. The total customer count for Azure’s OpenAI has grown dramatically. All of that usage is creating a massive business. 1 percentage point of growth on a $28.5b

AI Search 207
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What Happens When AI Performance Asymptotes?

Tom Tunguz

In the past, the bigger the AI model, the better the performance. This is a chart of many recent AI models’ performance according to a broadly accepted benchmark called MMLU. 1 MMLU measures the performance of an AI model compared to a high school student. OpenAI Model Release Date Parameters, B MMLU GPT2 2/14/19 1.5

AI 197
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The Capex Conquest in the Cloud

Tom Tunguz

Cloud Capex in Q1 AWS $14 billion Azure $14 billion Google Cloud $12 billion These are not one-time investments, but part of a broader trend that started to occur after the introduction of GPT 3 in mid-2020 Amazon was the first to invest significantly. Each of these businesses are large enough to justify it.

Cloud 292
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The 4 Questions Startups Should Ask Themselves about Building with Generative AI

Tom Tunguz

There are 4 questions a startup should ask themselves about building a startup that uses generative AI. The narrative is : AI is a massive platform change that Goldman Sachs projects will increase GDP 300x more than the PC. There are 4 questions startups should ask themselves about building with generative AI. The video is here.