Declines in device sales will be more than offset by growth in other areas, according to Gartner Research’s latest predictions. Credit: Thinkstock Overall spending on IT products and services is expected to climb by about 5.5% this year, fueled mainly by software and services, according to a forecast from tech analyst firm Gartner Research. That level of growth would result in a total expenditure of $4.6 trillion. In the area of data center systems, which includes servers, internal controller-based systems and networking equipment among other things, the latter is likely to prove a robust engine of growth, with Gartner predicting 8.4% year-on-year growth in constant currency. According to the forecast’s author, John-David Lovelock, the data center category as a whole should rise by 3.7% in 2023. “[Data center vendors] are still trying to dig out from under supply chain problems,” he said. “Spending would have been even higher if manufacturers would’ve been able to build more, spend more and ship more.” The software category is predicted to show the largest year-on-year growth figures in Gartner’s forecast, at 12.3%. That’s driven largely by analytics and business intelligence, as well as custom applications for work, Lovelock said. “Most of the things in the analytics platform space, except for the older ones, are doing very well,” he noted. The lone category predicted to shrink in size this year is endpoint devices, set to decline by 4.6%. The issue there, according to Lovelock, is that most of the market is highly saturated and users don’t have a particular reason to purchase new devices or upgrade existing ones at the moment. “With inflation cutting the purchasing power of consumers, they’re holding off on replacements,” he said, noting that the spending spikes seen in 2020 and 2021 were largely the product of COVID-induced remote work demands. The cloud market is also set to see increased spending, driven, for the first time, by increased pricing. While the cloud narrative since the technology’s widespread adoption in the 2010s has mostly been of scalability and build-outs leading to lower prices, increased labor and energy costs will finally start pushing prices higher, Lovelock said. “There’s likely going to be some vendors raising their prices this year as they try and hold off rising costs,” he said. “For the next three years, some of the increase in spending is going to be about an increase in price, not an increase in use.” Despite cautious overall economic forecasts, IT spending growth should continue to ramp up for the foreseeable future, according to Gartner, which predicted a further 8.6% growth in 2024. Related content opinion GenAI is to data visibility what absolute zero is to a hot summer day Given the plethora of privacy rules already in place in Europe, how are companies with shiny, new, not-understood genAI tools supposed to comply? (Hint: they can’t.) By Evan Schuman May 06, 2024 6 mins Data Privacy GDPR Generative AI news How many jobs are available in technology in the US? Tech unemployment was down slightly in April, but AI hiring was up — way up. And job listings showed more signs of a shift in recruiting practices with a growing emphasis on skill-based hiring. By Lucas Mearian May 06, 2024 160 mins Remote Work Salaries Financial Services Industry news With its new iPad, Apple's Empire strikes back Apple is preparing to introduce new iPad Pro and iPad Air models as it seeks to regain momentum in the tablet market. By Jonny Evans May 06, 2024 5 mins iPad Apple Tablets opinion Can AI tools help reduce Zoom fatigue? When it comes to meetings, whether in person or on video, can anything make them better? Yes, but it’s not the technology. By Steven Vaughan-Nichols May 06, 2024 5 mins Augmented Reality Generative AI Zoom Video Communications Podcasts Videos Resources Events SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER From our editors straight to your inbox Get started by entering your email address below. Please enter a valid email address Subscribe